- An important perspective on investing is the notion of a Power Law. You can make lots of terrible investments, but if you select just 1 company that’s a massive winner — that 1 company will make up for the losses and even provide additional gains.
- When evaluating what stage to invest at, keep this concept in mind: The earlier the stage, the higher the likelihood of failure. Conversely, the earlier the stage, the lower the valuation of the business (which can result in substantial returns).
- So, as an investor, diversification is key to mitigate risk and maximize your chances of winning. Diversification can be thought of in 2 forms:
- Time Diversification: Deploying capital consistently over time. This provides opportunities to observe how different market dynamics play out, enter new markets that open up, and tap into new founders that come online.
- Size Diversification: Spreading out your capital across many companies. Having more companies in your portfolio increases your chances of achieving the Power Law dynamics.